Aston Villa vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
20.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1947 |
ASV
2 - 1
BBU
74%
15%
11%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1947 |
ASV
1 - 2
LIV
58%
20%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1947 |
LEE
1 - 1
ASV
37%
24%
39%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1947 |
ASV
3 - 3
GRI
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1947 |
ASV
4 - 0
SUN
58%
20%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1947 |
PNE
1 - 1
MUD
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1947 |
EVE
2 - 0
PNE
65%
18%
17%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1947 |
PNE
1 - 1
OPA
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1947 |
BBU
1 - 2
PNE
44%
24%
32%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1947 |
LIV
3 - 0
PNE
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |