Aston Villa vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
19.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1939 |
CHL
2 - 1
ASV
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1939 |
ASV
3 - 0
STO
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1939 |
MUD
1 - 1
ASV
46%
23%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1939 |
ASV
5 - 1
BIR
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1939 |
LEI
1 - 1
ASV
49%
22%
30%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1939 |
PNE
2 - 1
SUN
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1939 |
GRI
1 - 1
PNE
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1939 |
PNE
4 - 1
DER
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1939 |
BPO
2 - 1
PNE
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1939 |
OPA
1 - 0
PNE
46%
24%
30%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |