Aston Villa vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1934 |
TOT
0 - 2
ASV
54%
21%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1934 |
ASV
1 - 1
SUN
67%
18%
16%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1934 |
LEI
5 - 0
ASV
51%
22%
28%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1934 |
WOL
5 - 2
ASV
53%
21%
26%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1934 |
ASV
3 - 2
DER
70%
17%
14%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1934 |
PNE
2 - 0
CHL
50%
22%
28%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1934 |
WOL
2 - 2
PNE
71%
15%
13%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1934 |
PNE
2 - 0
HUR
35%
24%
41%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1934 |
PNE
1 - 0
TOT
43%
23%
34%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1934 |
EVE
4 - 1
PNE
76%
14%
10%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |