Aston Villa vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1925 |
MAC
1 - 0
ASV
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1925 |
CAR
2 - 1
ASV
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1925 |
ASV
2 - 1
MAC
52%
23%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1925 |
ASV
1 - 4
SUN
45%
24%
31%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1925 |
ASV
4 - 0
ARS
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1925 |
EVE
0 - 0
PNE
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1925 |
PNE
2 - 0
ARS
55%
22%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1925 |
PNE
1 - 1
EVE
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1925 |
MAC
2 - 1
PNE
68%
18%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1925 |
NOT
1 - 0
PNE
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |