Aston Villa vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
8.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1920 |
OLD
1 - 1
ASV
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1920 |
ASV
3 - 0
OLD
73%
16%
11%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1920 |
TOT
1 - 2
ASV
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1920 |
BOL
5 - 0
ASV
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1920 |
ASV
4 - 2
TOT
71%
16%
13%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1920 |
PNE
2 - 3
LIV
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1920 |
LIV
6 - 0
PNE
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1920 |
PNE
3 - 2
NEW
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1920 |
NEW
4 - 2
PNE
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1920 |
PNE
2 - 0
MID
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |