Aston Villa vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1919 |
PNE
3 - 0
ASV
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1919 |
ASV
1 - 0
BRA
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1919 |
BRA
6 - 1
ASV
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1919 |
ASV
0 - 1
LIV
67%
18%
15%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1919 |
LIV
2 - 1
ASV
55%
21%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1919 |
PNE
3 - 0
ASV
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1919 |
OLD
4 - 1
PNE
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1919 |
PNE
2 - 1
OLD
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1919 |
MUD
5 - 1
PNE
60%
23%
18%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1919 |
PNE
2 - 3
MUD
51%
24%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |