Aston Villa vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
5.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1913 |
BUR
4 - 0
ASV
41%
25%
34%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1913 |
ASV
3 - 1
MUD
64%
19%
17%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1913 |
OLD
0 - 1
ASV
37%
26%
36%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1913 |
ASV
1 - 2
CHL
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1913 |
BOL
3 - 0
ASV
42%
25%
33%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1913 |
PNE
0 - 1
LIV
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1913 |
NEW
2 - 0
PNE
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1913 |
PNE
1 - 2
TOT
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1913 |
PNE
2 - 1
BUR
45%
26%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1913 |
MUD
3 - 0
PNE
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |