Aston Villa vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1911 |
ASV
5 - 0
LIV
75%
15%
10%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1911 |
MUD
3 - 1
ASV
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1911 |
ASV
2 - 2
TOT
80%
13%
7%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1911 |
ASV
2 - 1
MID
80%
13%
8%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1911 |
BCF
1 - 1
ASV
33%
26%
41%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1911 |
PNE
1 - 1
WBA
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1911 |
LIV
0 - 1
PNE
76%
15%
10%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1911 |
PNE
2 - 1
EVE
43%
25%
31%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1911 |
MUD
0 - 0
PNE
79%
13%
7%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1911 |
PNE
2 - 1
MAC
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |