Aston Villa vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
11.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1906 |
BOL
1 - 2
ASV
49%
23%
28%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1906 |
ASV
5 - 1
SHE
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1906 |
NOT
1 - 1
ASV
31%
23%
46%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1906 |
ASV
3 - 2
BRI
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1906 |
LIV
5 - 2
ASV
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1906 |
STO
0 - 2
PNE
51%
24%
26%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1906 |
PNE
2 - 0
MUD
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1906 |
PNE
3 - 1
BOL
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1906 |
PNE
2 - 1
SHE
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1906 |
NOT
0 - 0
PNE
46%
25%
30%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |