Aston Villa vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
28.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1951 |
CHL
1 - 1
ASV
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1951 |
NEW
0 - 1
ASV
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1951 |
ASV
2 - 1
SHW
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1951 |
ASV
1 - 0
WOL
44%
23%
32%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1951 |
WOL
2 - 3
ASV
73%
15%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1951 |
NEW
0 - 0
OPA
56%
21%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1951 |
OPA
0 - 0
SUN
61%
19%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1951 |
CHA
0 - 1
OPA
47%
23%
30%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1951 |
OPA
1 - 1
ARS
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1951 |
OPA
1 - 1
TOT
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |