Aston Villa vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
22%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1948 |
ASV
4 - 3
SHE
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1948 |
MUD
3 - 1
ASV
74%
15%
11%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1948 |
ASV
3 - 3
HUR
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1948 |
ASV
2 - 4
NEW
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1948 |
ARS
3 - 1
ASV
69%
18%
14%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1948 |
OPA
1 - 0
NEW
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1948 |
OPA
3 - 0
SHE
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1948 |
MAC
1 - 1
OPA
49%
24%
28%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1948 |
MID
1 - 1
OPA
54%
22%
25%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1948 |
OPA
3 - 1
CHA
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |