Aston Villa vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1946 |
BBU
0 - 1
ASV
48%
22%
30%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1946 |
ASV
5 - 2
BRE
60%
20%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1946 |
BPO
1 - 0
ASV
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1946 |
ASV
3 - 0
WOL
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1946 |
ASV
0 - 2
ARS
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1946 |
OPA
4 - 1
SUN
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1946 |
WOL
3 - 1
OPA
76%
14%
11%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1946 |
BPO
4 - 3
OPA
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1946 |
OPA
3 - 1
HUR
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1946 |
EVE
1 - 0
OPA
75%
14%
11%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |