Aston Villa vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
20.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1938 |
ARS
0 - 0
ASV
66%
18%
16%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1938 |
ASV
5 - 0
BRE
52%
22%
25%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1938 |
BPO
2 - 4
ASV
55%
21%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1938 |
ASV
0 - 3
EVE
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1938 |
ASV
0 - 1
DER
53%
22%
26%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1938 |
OPA
1 - 0
WOL
52%
23%
26%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1938 |
EVE
5 - 1
OPA
72%
15%
13%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1938 |
OPA
4 - 0
HUR
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1938 |
GRI
2 - 1
OPA
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1938 |
OPA
2 - 1
BOL
57%
22%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |