Aston Villa vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
16.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1928 |
OPA
3 - 2
ASV
38%
24%
38%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1928 |
SHW
4 - 1
ASV
55%
21%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1928 |
ASV
5 - 1
MAC
64%
19%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1928 |
HUR
3 - 0
ASV
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1928 |
ASV
2 - 0
EVE
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1928 |
OPA
3 - 2
ASV
38%
24%
38%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1928 |
OPA
3 - 0
MUD
46%
24%
31%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1928 |
SHE
3 - 0
OPA
68%
17%
15%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1928 |
OPA
0 - 1
CAR
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1928 |
BUR
4 - 1
OPA
69%
16%
15%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |