Aston Villa vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1993 |
BBU
3 - 0
ASV
45%
27%
28%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1993 |
ASV
3 - 1
MAC
51%
25%
24%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1993 |
ARS
0 - 1
ASV
62%
22%
16%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1993 |
ASV
0 - 0
COV
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1993 |
NTT
0 - 1
ASV
47%
27%
26%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1993 |
TOT
4 - 1
OLD
72%
17%
10%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1993 |
OLD
1 - 1
SHE
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1993 |
LIV
1 - 0
OLD
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1993 |
OLD
1 - 1
SHW
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1993 |
OLD
6 - 2
WIM
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |