Aston Villa vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1922 |
OLD
0 - 2
ASV
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1922 |
BOL
3 - 0
ASV
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1922 |
ASV
2 - 0
BOL
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1922 |
TOT
1 - 2
ASV
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1922 |
ASV
2 - 0
TOT
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1922 |
OLD
0 - 2
ASV
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1922 |
HUR
3 - 0
OLD
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1922 |
OLD
0 - 3
HUR
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1922 |
MID
2 - 1
OLD
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1922 |
OLD
0 - 0
MID
37%
26%
38%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |