Aston Villa vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
11.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1922 |
BOL
1 - 0
ASV
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1922 |
ASV
1 - 4
CHL
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1922 |
ASV
2 - 1
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1922 |
CHL
1 - 0
ASV
40%
26%
35%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1922 |
HUR
1 - 0
ASV
39%
26%
36%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1922 |
OLD
1 - 1
MUD
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1922 |
OLD
1 - 0
TOT
34%
28%
38%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1922 |
MUD
0 - 3
OLD
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1922 |
TOT
3 - 1
OLD
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1922 |
OLD
4 - 0
LIV
35%
31%
34%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |