Aston Villa vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1915 |
BRA
2 - 2
ASV
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1915 |
NOT
1 - 1
ASV
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1915 |
ASV
6 - 2
LIV
72%
16%
12%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1915 |
ASV
2 - 1
BBU
52%
22%
26%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1915 |
SHE
3 - 0
ASV
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1915 |
OLD
3 - 0
SHE
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1915 |
OLD
1 - 0
MUD
58%
22%
21%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1915 |
MAC
0 - 0
OLD
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1915 |
MID
4 - 1
OLD
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1915 |
OLD
1 - 0
NEW
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |