Aston Villa vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1911 |
ASV
1 - 0
SHE
79%
13%
8%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1911 |
NEW
6 - 2
ASV
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1911 |
ASV
1 - 0
PNE
81%
12%
6%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1911 |
ASV
5 - 0
LIV
75%
15%
10%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1911 |
MUD
3 - 1
ASV
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1911 |
OLD
2 - 4
NEW
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1911 |
LIV
1 - 0
OLD
71%
16%
12%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1911 |
OLD
2 - 2
MUD
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1911 |
TOT
4 - 0
OLD
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1911 |
OLD
1 - 2
NOT
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |