Aston Villa vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
12.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1923 |
ASV
4 - 0
WBA
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1923 |
WBA
1 - 0
ASV
49%
24%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1923 |
ASV
1 - 1
BUR
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1923 |
BUR
1 - 2
ASV
54%
22%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1923 |
ASV
5 - 1
PNE
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1923 |
EVE
3 - 0
NOT
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1923 |
NOT
1 - 1
EVE
37%
29%
35%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1923 |
TOT
1 - 3
NOT
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1923 |
NOT
0 - 0
TOT
37%
29%
35%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1923 |
NOT
1 - 0
MID
34%
25%
42%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |