Aston Villa vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
9.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1920 |
CHL
2 - 1
ASV
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1920 |
ASV
3 - 1
CHL
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1920 |
ASV
1 - 2
BBU
67%
17%
16%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1920 |
BRA
3 - 1
ASV
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1920 |
BOL
2 - 1
ASV
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1920 |
NOT
1 - 1
MID
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1920 |
NOT
0 - 0
NEW
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1920 |
NEW
2 - 1
NOT
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1920 |
CHL
2 - 0
NOT
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1920 |
NOT
0 - 1
CHL
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |