Aston Villa vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
8.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1914 |
ASV
1 - 3
MID
72%
16%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1914 |
TOT
0 - 2
ASV
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1914 |
ASV
3 - 2
DER
76%
14%
10%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1914 |
LIV
0 - 1
ASV
43%
24%
33%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1914 |
MAC
3 - 1
ASV
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1914 |
HUR
2 - 1
NOT
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1914 |
BPO
0 - 0
NOT
25%
29%
46%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1914 |
NOT
2 - 0
BCF
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1914 |
BAR
0 - 1
NOT
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1914 |
NOT
4 - 1
HUL
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |