Aston Villa vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
6.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1908 |
ASV
0 - 2
MUD
62%
19%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1908 |
ASV
5 - 0
SHW
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1908 |
ARS
0 - 1
ASV
49%
24%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1908 |
EVE
1 - 0
ASV
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1908 |
ASV
2 - 3
BIR
80%
12%
8%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1908 |
PNE
1 - 0
NOT
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1908 |
NOT
1 - 0
MAC
41%
23%
36%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1908 |
BRI
2 - 1
NOT
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1908 |
NOT
1 - 2
SHW
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1908 |
NOT
4 - 0
SUN
53%
22%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |