Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
ASV
4 - 2
BIR
60%
24%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
DER
0 - 3
ASV
55%
24%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
ASV
2 - 0
BOL
69%
20%
11%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
QPR
1 - 0
ASV
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
NOR
2 - 1
ASV
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
HUL
0 - 2
NTT
38%
27%
36%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
NTT
0 - 0
STO
27%
27%
47%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
NTT
1 - 0
SHE
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
BUR
3 - 2
NTT
24%
23%
53%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
LEE
1 - 1
NTT
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |