Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1984 |
NEW
3 - 0
ASV
41%
25%
34%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1984 |
STO
1 - 3
ASV
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1984 |
ASV
1 - 0
COV
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1984 |
IPS
2 - 1
ASV
53%
24%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1984 |
ASV
0 - 2
EVE
56%
24%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1984 |
NTT
3 - 1
SUN
68%
20%
12%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1984 |
NTT
2 - 0
ARS
55%
23%
21%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1984 |
SHW
3 - 1
NTT
35%
27%
38%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1984 |
NTT
2 - 0
MUD
48%
26%
27%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1984 |
WHU
1 - 2
NTT
48%
25%
28%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |