Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1982 |
ASV
4 - 1
LUT
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1982 |
SOU
1 - 0
ASV
57%
22%
21%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1982 |
EVE
5 - 0
ASV
47%
26%
28%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1982 |
ASV
1 - 3
SUN
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1982 |
ASV
1 - 0
BYM
49%
23%
29%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1982 |
LIV
4 - 3
NTT
69%
20%
12%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1982 |
NTT
4 - 0
BHA
62%
22%
16%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1982 |
NTT
0 - 3
MUD
39%
27%
34%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1982 |
WHU
1 - 2
NTT
58%
22%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1982 |
IPS
1 - 3
NTT
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |