Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
31.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1980 |
STO
2 - 0
ASV
40%
28%
32%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1980 |
ASV
2 - 0
NOR
62%
22%
16%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1980 |
ASV
1 - 1
IPS
47%
26%
28%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1980 |
ASV
0 - 2
MID
61%
23%
17%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1980 |
SOU
2 - 0
ASV
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1980 |
NTT
2 - 0
MUD
57%
23%
20%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1980 |
BHA
1 - 0
NTT
28%
29%
43%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1980 |
NTT
2 - 0
SOU
71%
19%
11%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1980 |
BFC
1 - 3
NTT
74%
16%
10%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1980 |
WOL
1 - 0
NTT
47%
25%
28%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |