Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1966 |
FUL
5 - 1
ASV
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1966 |
ASV
3 - 2
WBA
40%
25%
36%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1966 |
TOT
0 - 1
ASV
76%
14%
10%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1966 |
ASV
0 - 0
SHE
56%
23%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1966 |
WBA
2 - 1
ASV
74%
15%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1966 |
NTT
3 - 1
SUN
59%
22%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1966 |
LIV
4 - 0
NTT
70%
18%
13%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1966 |
NTT
2 - 0
BPO
61%
21%
17%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1966 |
WHU
3 - 1
NTT
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1966 |
NTT
1 - 1
LIV
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |