Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
28%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1963 |
LEI
0 - 0
ASV
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1963 |
ASV
0 - 0
IPS
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1963 |
BUR
2 - 0
ASV
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1963 |
ASV
4 - 0
MUD
40%
24%
36%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1963 |
FUL
2 - 0
ASV
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1963 |
BUR
1 - 1
NTT
65%
19%
16%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1963 |
NTT
0 - 3
WBA
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1963 |
BIR
3 - 3
NTT
50%
23%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1963 |
NTT
2 - 2
EVE
38%
25%
38%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1963 |
SHW
3 - 1
NTT
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |