Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
18.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1958 |
OPA
5 - 2
ASV
50%
22%
28%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1958 |
WHU
7 - 2
ASV
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1958 |
ASV
3 - 2
OPA
61%
19%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1958 |
ASV
1 - 1
BIR
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1958 |
ASV
1 - 1
NTT
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1958 |
MUD
1 - 1
NTT
73%
16%
12%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1958 |
NTT
5 - 0
OPA
54%
21%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1958 |
NTT
0 - 3
MUD
31%
23%
46%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1958 |
WOL
5 - 1
NTT
83%
11%
6%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1958 |
ASV
1 - 1
NTT
63%
19%
18%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |