Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1925 |
ASV
4 - 3
BBU
57%
23%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1925 |
BUR
1 - 1
ASV
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1925 |
ASV
1 - 0
PNE
64%
21%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1925 |
MAC
1 - 0
ASV
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1925 |
CAR
2 - 1
ASV
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1925 |
TOT
1 - 0
NTT
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1925 |
NTT
0 - 1
WBA
34%
31%
35%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1925 |
BBU
0 - 0
NTT
75%
16%
10%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1925 |
BIR
1 - 1
NTT
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1925 |
NTT
0 - 2
BBU
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |