Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
11.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1923 |
NTT
3 - 1
ASV
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1923 |
PNE
3 - 2
ASV
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1922 |
ASV
1 - 0
PNE
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1922 |
ASV
3 - 1
BUR
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1922 |
BUR
1 - 1
ASV
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1923 |
NTT
3 - 1
ASV
30%
27%
43%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1923 |
NEW
1 - 0
NTT
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1923 |
BOL
4 - 2
NTT
70%
18%
13%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1922 |
NTT
0 - 1
NEW
37%
31%
32%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1922 |
NTT
0 - 4
CHL
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |