Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
7.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1911 |
MUD
2 - 1
ASV
61%
19%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1911 |
ASV
4 - 1
BRA
77%
14%
9%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1911 |
ASV
2 - 1
SUN
69%
17%
14%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1911 |
BCF
1 - 0
ASV
38%
25%
37%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1910 |
OLD
1 - 1
ASV
32%
26%
42%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1911 |
NTT
1 - 2
SHE
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1911 |
BCF
1 - 0
NTT
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1911 |
NTT
2 - 0
LIV
51%
22%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1911 |
MUD
4 - 2
NTT
72%
17%
12%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1911 |
MID
2 - 2
NTT
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |