Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1909 |
BBU
3 - 2
ASV
47%
24%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1909 |
ASV
4 - 1
CHL
69%
18%
14%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1909 |
BOL
1 - 2
ASV
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1909 |
ASV
5 - 1
ARS
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1909 |
ASV
3 - 0
NEW
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1909 |
NTT
1 - 4
LIV
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1909 |
NEW
1 - 2
NTT
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1909 |
NTT
2 - 1
NOT
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1909 |
PNE
0 - 1
NTT
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1909 |
NTT
4 - 1
MID
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |