Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1909 |
SHW
4 - 2
ASV
57%
21%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1909 |
BCF
1 - 2
ASV
40%
25%
36%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1908 |
ASV
3 - 0
BCF
72%
16%
12%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1908 |
ASV
1 - 1
LIV
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1908 |
MAC
2 - 0
ASV
49%
23%
28%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1909 |
NTT
0 - 2
SHE
58%
21%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1908 |
NTT
0 - 2
MAC
53%
21%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1908 |
LIV
1 - 1
NTT
72%
15%
13%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1908 |
BCF
3 - 2
NTT
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1908 |
MID
4 - 0
NTT
59%
21%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |