Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
9.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1907 |
SHE
1 - 1
ASV
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1907 |
ASV
6 - 0
MID
82%
11%
7%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1907 |
LIV
5 - 0
ASV
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1907 |
ASV
3 - 3
NEW
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1907 |
ASV
2 - 2
BCF
78%
13%
9%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1907 |
NTT
2 - 2
PNE
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1907 |
MAC
4 - 2
NTT
70%
16%
14%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1907 |
NTT
2 - 0
NOT
69%
17%
13%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1907 |
BRI
3 - 0
NTT
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1907 |
NTT
2 - 2
SHW
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |