Aston Villa vs Norwich City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
39.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
WIG
0 - 2
ASV
31%
29%
40%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
ASV
2 - 0
SHW
42%
28%
31%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2017 |
HUR
1 - 0
ASV
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
ROT
0 - 2
ASV
24%
26%
50%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
ASV
2 - 0
BRI
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
NOR
2 - 0
BAR
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
NOR
2 - 2
BBU
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2017 |
BRI
1 - 1
NOR
22%
25%
53%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
SHW
5 - 1
NOR
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 1
IPS
73%
18%
10%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |