Aston Villa vs Norwich City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
14.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1983 |
NTT
2 - 2
ASV
46%
26%
27%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1983 |
QPR
2 - 1
ASV
38%
27%
35%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1983 |
ASV
1 - 0
SUN
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
ASV
4 - 3
WBA
67%
20%
14%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1983 |
ASV
2 - 1
ARS
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1983 |
LUT
2 - 2
NOR
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1983 |
NOR
3 - 0
WOL
62%
21%
16%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
NOR
0 - 1
LIV
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
SUN
1 - 1
NOR
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1983 |
NOR
2 - 1
BHA
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |