Aston Villa vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
EVE
2 - 2
ASV
53%
23%
24%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ASV
0 - 1
WOL
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
BOL
3 - 2
ASV
36%
25%
38%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
MAC
3 - 0
ASV
54%
23%
23%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
ASV
4 - 1
BBU
54%
23%
23%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
NEW
4 - 1
WOL
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
STO
4 - 0
NEW
46%
26%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 2
EVE
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 1
BOL
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
BIR
0 - 2
NEW
42%
27%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |