Aston Villa vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
MID
1 - 1
ASV
34%
25%
40%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
FUL
3 - 1
ASV
38%
25%
37%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2009 |
ASV
1 - 0
HUL
64%
22%
14%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
BOL
1 - 1
ASV
32%
26%
42%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ASV
1 - 1
WHU
56%
25%
20%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
NEW
0 - 1
FUL
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2009 |
NEW
3 - 1
MID
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
LIV
3 - 0
NEW
77%
16%
8%
|
84 | 95 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
NEW
0 - 0
OPA
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
TOT
1 - 0
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |