Aston Villa vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
27.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
FUL
2 - 1
ASV
32%
25%
43%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
ASV
1 - 1
BBU
39%
27%
34%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2008 |
LIV
2 - 2
ASV
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
ASV
3 - 1
REA
47%
26%
27%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
ASV
0 - 2
MUD
17%
24%
59%
|
86 | 95 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
NEW
1 - 1
MID
55%
25%
20%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2008 |
ARS
3 - 0
NEW
75%
16%
9%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
ARS
3 - 0
NEW
77%
16%
8%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
NEW
0 - 0
BOL
50%
25%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
NEW
4 - 1
STO
66%
21%
13%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | +1 |