Aston Villa vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
36.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
BOL
3 - 2
ASV
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
IPS
0 - 0
ASV
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
ASV
1 - 2
ARS
27%
27%
46%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2002 |
BBU
3 - 0
ASV
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
ASV
2 - 1
WHU
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2002 |
NEW
6 - 2
EVE
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
ARS
3 - 0
NEW
67%
19%
14%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
NEW
2 - 2
IPS
64%
20%
17%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
NEW
1 - 1
ARS
39%
26%
36%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
LIV
3 - 0
NEW
56%
24%
21%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | -1 |