Aston Villa vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1985 |
WHU
4 - 1
ASV
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1985 |
ASV
1 - 2
NTT
52%
25%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
ARS
3 - 2
ASV
55%
24%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1985 |
ASV
0 - 0
EVE
37%
27%
35%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1985 |
IPS
0 - 3
ASV
46%
26%
29%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1985 |
NEW
0 - 3
NTT
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1985 |
IPS
2 - 2
NEW
52%
25%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
NEW
1 - 2
WHU
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1985 |
ARS
0 - 0
NEW
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1985 |
NEW
3 - 0
OXF
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |