Aston Villa vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
32.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1960 |
ASV
1 - 3
LEI
52%
21%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1960 |
TOT
6 - 2
ASV
78%
13%
9%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1960 |
ASV
3 - 1
MUD
36%
22%
43%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1960 |
ASV
2 - 1
CAR
69%
17%
13%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1960 |
BBU
4 - 1
ASV
58%
21%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1960 |
NEW
5 - 0
CAR
75%
14%
10%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1960 |
NEW
1 - 3
LEI
60%
19%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1960 |
ARS
5 - 0
NEW
51%
21%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1960 |
NEW
3 - 2
WBA
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1960 |
NEW
1 - 3
MAC
55%
20%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |