Aston Villa vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
29.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1956 |
OPA
5 - 1
ASV
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1956 |
ASV
0 - 0
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1956 |
LEE
1 - 0
ASV
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1956 |
ASV
2 - 4
TOT
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1956 |
EVE
0 - 4
ASV
49%
24%
28%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1956 |
NEW
2 - 2
LUT
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1956 |
PNE
1 - 0
NEW
56%
20%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1956 |
NEW
1 - 1
BUR
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1956 |
ARS
0 - 1
NEW
57%
20%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1956 |
NEW
1 - 1
MUD
38%
23%
39%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |