Aston Villa vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
28.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1951 |
WBA
1 - 2
ASV
48%
23%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1951 |
ASV
2 - 0
MID
55%
21%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1951 |
FUL
2 - 2
ASV
42%
24%
34%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1951 |
ASV
0 - 2
CHA
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1951 |
BUR
2 - 1
ASV
37%
26%
38%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1951 |
NEW
2 - 1
DER
65%
18%
17%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1951 |
MAC
2 - 3
NEW
42%
24%
35%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1951 |
NEW
2 - 0
ARS
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1951 |
BPO
6 - 3
NEW
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1951 |
NEW
1 - 1
LIV
68%
17%
15%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |