Aston Villa vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
12.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1948 |
ARS
3 - 1
ASV
69%
18%
14%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1948 |
NEW
2 - 1
ASV
45%
23%
32%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1948 |
ASV
1 - 1
DER
52%
21%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1948 |
ASV
2 - 4
BOL
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1948 |
BPO
1 - 0
ASV
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1948 |
NEW
2 - 2
STO
50%
23%
27%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1948 |
NEW
2 - 1
ASV
45%
23%
32%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1948 |
BUR
0 - 3
NEW
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1948 |
CHL
2 - 3
NEW
67%
18%
16%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1948 |
NEW
2 - 5
PNE
41%
23%
36%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |