Aston Villa vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
11.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1933 |
BBU
2 - 1
ASV
55%
20%
25%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1933 |
ASV
3 - 0
MID
74%
14%
12%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1933 |
LEE
2 - 4
ASV
43%
24%
33%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1933 |
ASV
2 - 3
ARS
58%
20%
22%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1933 |
MAC
1 - 0
ASV
50%
22%
28%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1933 |
NEW
1 - 1
LEI
56%
20%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1933 |
TOT
4 - 0
NEW
54%
21%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1933 |
NEW
3 - 1
SHE
56%
21%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1933 |
CHL
2 - 1
NEW
43%
24%
34%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1933 |
NEW
2 - 1
SUN
57%
21%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |