Aston Villa vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
8.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1931 |
OPA
5 - 0
ASV
40%
24%
36%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1931 |
ASV
4 - 1
BPO
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1931 |
DER
1 - 1
ASV
56%
20%
24%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1931 |
ASV
5 - 1
ARS
65%
18%
17%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1931 |
BBU
0 - 2
ASV
49%
22%
29%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1931 |
BBU
1 - 0
NEW
61%
20%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1931 |
NEW
1 - 1
HUR
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1931 |
NEW
2 - 0
SUN
58%
20%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1931 |
OPA
1 - 2
NEW
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1931 |
NEW
0 - 2
BPO
71%
15%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |