Aston Villa vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1920 |
NEW
2 - 1
ASV
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1920 |
BRA
4 - 0
ASV
47%
24%
28%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1920 |
ASV
4 - 1
BRA
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1920 |
WBA
2 - 1
ASV
55%
22%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1920 |
ASV
0 - 0
WBA
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1920 |
NEW
2 - 1
ASV
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1920 |
LIV
0 - 1
NEW
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1920 |
NEW
2 - 0
LIV
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1920 |
BUR
3 - 1
NEW
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1920 |
NEW
1 - 2
BUR
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |